This book brings together for the first time the complete theory of data based neurofuzzy modelling and the linguistic attributes of fuzzy logic in a single cohesive mathematical framework. After introducing the basic theory of data based modelling new concepts including extended additive and multiplicative submodels are developed. All of these algorithms are illustrated with benchmark examples to demonstrate their efficiency. The book aims at researchers and advanced professionals in time series modelling, empirical data modelling, knowledge discovery, data mining and data fusion.
An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models for the C/4 actuarial examThis new, abridged edition has been thoroughly revised and updated to include the essential material related to Exam C of the Society of Actuaries' and Casualty Actuarial Society's accreditation programs. The book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model.
The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous examinations. The emphasis throughout is now placed on calculations and spreadsheet implementation. Additional features of the Fourth Edition include: extended discussions of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk; expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation; new sections on extreme value distributions and their estimations, compound frequency class of distributions, and estimation for the compound class; and motivating examples from fields of insurance and business. All data sets are available on an FTP site. An assortment of supplements (both print and electronic) is available.
Loss Models, Fourth Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations C/4. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work.
To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/c4actuarial.
On June 3, 2015, the Greek Parliamentary Budget Office, the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, the Democritus University of Thrace, and the University of Peloponnese sponsored an international conference to address medium- and long-term growth in Greece. This collection presents the strongest papers on the conditions required to revive and maintain economic growth. Leading experts cover almost every major issue identified in the latest literature, from demographic issues and proposals for export strategy to the need for innovation and structural reform. The combination of qualitative and quantitative approaches to assessing present conditions make this ground-breaking collection a valuable resource for a variety of academics, professional economists, and economic policy practitioners planting the seeds of Greece's future.
The professional development school (PDS) is a unique educational reform initiative that attempts the simultaneous reform of education at the school and the university. By conducting reform at both levels of education, the PDS is a solution to the piecemeal reforms of the past, from Dewey's Progressivism to the Sputnik reforms to New Math to Whole Language, which have targeted educational change in the public schools but most have overlooked the preparation of new teachers. The PDS addresses the professional development of experienced teachers in the field, the preparation of new teachers, and improvement of the programs of K-12 schools at the same time and at the same place-the school site. In this way, reform goals are agreed upon and implemented by both new and experienced teachers so that reform efforts are seamlessly supported by all parties involved. Nevertheless, most educators engaged in PDS reform agree that PDSs are a high stakes reform effort and are fraught with difficulties. This case study provides an annotated road map of one PDS partnership so that others interested in partnership work are provided general principles to guide their work.
This book is intended primarily as a handbook for engineers who must design practical systems.
Its primaryÂ goal is to discuss model development in sufficient detail so that the reader may design an estimator that meets all application requirements and is robust to modeling assumptions.Â Since it is sometimes difficult to a priori determine the best model structure, use of exploratory data analysis to define model structure is discussed.Â Methods for deciding on the ?best? model are also presented.Â
A second goal is to present little known extensions of least squares estimation or Kalman filtering that provide guidance on model structure and parameters, or make the estimator more robust to changes in real-world behavior.
A third goal is discussion of implementation issues that make the estimator more accurate or efficient, or that make it flexible so that model alternatives can be easily compared.
The fourth goal is to provide the designer/analyst with guidance in evaluating estimator performance and in determining/correcting problems.
The final goal is to provide a subroutine library that simplifies implementation, and flexible general purpose high-level drivers that allow both easy analysis of alternative models and access to extensions of the basic filtering.
Supplemental materials and up-to-date errata are downloadable at http://booksupport.wiley.com.
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